Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 1.705883 1.850043 2.002967 2.177649 2.372128 2.582522 2.828053
2025-12-21 1.442127 1.631903 1.844441 2.101479 2.405732 2.756641 3.195242
2025-12-28 1.308203 1.527910 1.784214 2.108072 2.510318 2.998747 3.644822
2026-01-04 1.217459 1.458595 1.749371 2.130330 2.623034 3.248279 4.117430
2026-01-11 1.147690 1.404980 1.724124 2.155552 2.733711 3.496879 4.606845
2026-01-18 1.088397 1.357617 1.699915 2.175660 2.833875 3.734478 5.100484
2026-01-25 1.031550 1.307914 1.666988 2.178470 2.906660 3.936061 5.559186
2026-02-01 0.964628 1.239698 1.603577 2.132693 2.904461 4.026420 5.856226
2026-02-08 0.910800 1.185295 1.554551 2.101985 2.919039 4.139134 6.195377
2026-02-15 0.868469 1.143797 1.520166 2.088665 2.956349 4.286695 6.603287
2026-02-22 0.847590 1.130596 1.524149 2.130687 3.079218 4.576313 7.280070
2026-03-01 0.812110 1.094556 1.492875 2.117022 3.113016 4.723780 7.724538
2026-03-08 0.775573 1.055784 1.456333 2.094162 3.132330 4.852208 8.157336
2026-03-15 0.728805 0.999946 1.391696 2.023554 3.068429 4.833402 8.312372
2026-03-22 0.705984 0.978200 1.376814 2.030217 3.132695 5.041960 8.931272
2026-03-29 0.688540 0.963480 1.371557 2.051512 3.222626 5.303559 9.690963
2026-04-05 0.672962 0.950708 1.368387 2.075570 3.318503 5.584262 10.530099
2026-04-12 0.657269 0.936927 1.362731 2.094738 3.406550 5.857863 11.394357
2026-04-19 0.638915 0.918145 1.348067 2.097416 3.464316 6.077480 12.170206
2026-04-26 0.611795 0.884519 1.307969 2.053784 3.432719 6.115430 12.526601
2026-05-03 0.589347 0.857380 1.277156 2.024508 3.425771 6.202229 13.012554
2026-05-10 0.571566 0.836972 1.256436 2.011807 3.449390 6.354260 13.683793
2026-05-17 0.565103 0.834415 1.265021 2.051872 3.578438 6.742834 15.030028